January 13, 2018

(Before anything else, I have reached 1000 followers on Twitter! Thanks to each and every one of my followers and especially Stratabet for providing me this opportunity).


A few months ago, I had written a blog post on match states and how Eredivisie teams performed dur...

November 10, 2017

I have been posting a lot of analyses and graphs on my Twitter account lately. One of the more popular graphs is the defensive efficiency of teams, measured by the difference between expected goals against (xGA) and the actual goals conceded. A defensively over-perform...

October 19, 2017

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In this post, I try to look at the current status of Europe's attacking players. Although the sample size of matches are quite small (around eight games have been played in all leagues), per 90 minute  figures might give some indicators for the re...

October 7, 2017

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Alternative rankings table, based on expected points, showed a very interesting story from last year's Serie A in Italy. Pescara, who were relegated after collecting only 15 points, could have finished on 16th spot with 41. That’s a differenc...

October 3, 2017

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Expected Points (xP), introduced in my previous post, opens up doors for analyzing team performance over a time period. With the aid of data provided by fine gentlemen at Strata, now it’s time for a recap of last season. Let’s go.



October 1, 2017

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In my previous post, I had explained the derivation of my xG model and finished by listing some potential application areas. This time, I focus on assessing how xG relate to team performance in winning matches, points and subsequently cups/titles....

September 11, 2017

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Read anything in football analytics context and you will come across the term Expected Goal (xG or ExpG). The once popular-only-for-the-stat-nerds, xG has finally made its way through to the traditional media. Since the start of this season, it ha...

August 30, 2017

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Previously, I had looked at the Eredivisie 16-17 season and seen that low shot conversion rates (CR%) hurt PSV. Since the StrataData contains very detailed information for each shot taken, I now continue with other team stats. Let’s go!

Match States

August 22, 2017

2016-17 season in Eredivisie witnessed some very exciting moments, especially at the end of season, with Feyenoord claiming the title after 18 years of drought. Ajax came up just short ending wiht 81 points (they had higher hopes coming into the last round). PSV was be...

August 19, 2017

I had ended my previous post with a goal probability map where shots closer to goal (as expected) had a higher chance of getting in. To get into further detail, using the great Strata data, I generated the following where I divide the pitch into ‘zones’. In the below i...

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Analysis from the back seats. Statistical approach to football, basketball and tennis.
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Jorj Terzioglu